Most people would say that, yes, the transformer will officially get Ice Cream when it comes out. But in reality, we don?t know if ASUS will send it out or not.
As for gingerbread programs, my experience with the Xoom (still waiting on my Transformer) was that only one 2.X program I tried didn?t run on the Xoom. The 7 or 8 others I tried did run just fine, even though they weren?t fully ?optimized? for the larger screen.
FWIW, there?s a sticky on the Xoom forum with a listing of the programs that are known to be ?optimized? for Honeycomb, it grows each day.
-Suntan