View Poll Results: How many Xooms will Moto sell worldwide within 3 months?
- 39. You may not vote on this poll
500,000 or less
500,000 - 1,000,000
1,000,001 - 2,000,000
2,000,001 - 3,000,000
3,000,001 or more
How many Xooms will Motorola sell in 3 months?
We're talking worldwide here...
After I read that Samsung has sold 2 million Galaxy Tabs in the last 3 months (approx), just thought I'd pose this question, since everyone is so consumed with the (rumored) price of the Xoom.
Keep in mind that the Galaxy Tab was originally priced at $600-650 depending on carrier. Currently in the US, you can get it at Verizon (off contract) for $500, $550 from AT&T (off contract), $600 at T-Mobile (off contract), or Sprint has it for $300 (+$720 at their cheapest data plan, or cancel the plan and pay $200 ETF).
This means that, based on the rumored Xoom prices, the Xoom will launch in the US for $49-149 more than the Galaxy Tab was at launch.
- 01-27-2011, 04:44 PM #2
Based on it's price point, I'm going to go with 500,000 or less. As much as I love this thing, I don't see very many people going out and dumping that kind of money on it, especially since average consumers know little to nothing about it thus far.
Keep in mind, Motorola expects to ship 800,000 Xooms, but shipped numbers and actual sales are two totally different figures.
- 01-27-2011, 05:12 PM #3
- 01-27-2011, 05:18 PM #4Droiderator
- 5,672 Posts
- Bugless Nexus
I don't think people will have a hard time getting one like some of the android phones last year. I can say I will buy one. Since it was mentioned I wanted it. Was thinking 600 but if I have to fork over another hundred or two I guess I will. So 1 sale for sure but I think total would be 400 to 500 thousand. In three months it could see a price drop and maybe other cheaper versions to boost numbers.
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- 01-27-2011, 06:02 PM #5
I think the XOOM represents the first of the game changers of the Android tablets, just like the HTC Incredible, and all those that came soon after, were to Android phones. The Android phone market was primed with the Nexus and the Droid1, but John Q Public didn't recognize the awesomeness until last April when the slew of announcements hit.
I predict a repeat of last April, but in the tablet world. There are so many good tablets coming... one after another... just like last year with phones.
And if you listen to the press and remember back a year, it's the same buzz. We're hearing the same Apple versus Android **** and how Apple is the powerhouse. The same silly comments were being made by the same silly Apple fan-boys. I don't have the exact quotes, but it was like:
"Why compare it to an iPhone3 when the iPhone4 is about to be released?"...
"The news about the iPhone4 will drown out any Android news."...
"Why would anyone pay $200 for an Android phone when they could get an iPhone4 for that?"...
yada, yada, yada,...
"It will take at least a year and a half to two years for Android to build ups apps and begin to come close to Apple's shipping rate."
Well... it took only weeks for Android to beat Apple's shipping rate and only eight months for Android to displace Apple as the #2 installed phone OS in North America.
Thank you for attending our reenactment of last year. The part of the Android phones will be played by Android tablets. ;-)
- 01-27-2011, 06:06 PM #6
- 01-27-2011, 06:11 PM #7
- 01-27-2011, 06:23 PM #8
- 01-27-2011, 07:21 PM #9
- 01-27-2011, 07:29 PM #10
It's hard to speculate if Motorola would be able to keep up with demand if sales were to exceed what they're expecting to ship. Keep in mind, that's the figure for the first quarter of the year, and considering the Xoom isn't coming out until halfway through the 1st quarter, that's a very, VERY optimistic number.
Essentially, Motorola is prepared to ship 800K Xooms in just over 6 weeks.
Anyway, it's just hard for me to imagine that the Galaxy Tab (regardless of how many carriers had it) would outsell the Xoom by that much. Seriously, TouchWiz and Froyo on a 7" screen for basically only $100 less than the price of the Xoom at launch? No-brainer for me.
- 01-27-2011, 08:27 PM #12
- 01-27-2011, 08:46 PM #13
Consider that since these are all coming from Asia ship time to the US will be around 20 days on a container ship. So Even though we are only looking at it being on the market for approx 1 month of the quarter they will be shipping them for almost 2 of the months.
The 800K units has not been said that it is US it is from suppliers. So I would suspect that it worldwide shipping numbers as well not just the US.
- 01-27-2011, 08:49 PM #14
- 01-28-2011, 12:45 AM #15
I think that Tab was reduced in price bc it sucked. I hate to sound so hateful but I've played with it and it's not a quality product. May be the first of many tablets but that doesn't make it good. Anyways there's no way over 500,000 of these will sell. It's a great product but it's expensive and there's also the iPad 2 to compete with.
- 01-28-2011, 07:16 AM #16
No major manufacturer debuting a product with this attention will wait for a cargo ship. If they unit is late, they will make up time, bite the bullet, and fly the units. That has been the norm for years.
- 01-28-2011, 07:21 AM #17
What happened last year? Android kicked some butt. Why? Because it's a better and more complete solution... beyond the Flash thing.
Mark my words, it's going to be a replay of last year.
- 01-28-2011, 08:18 AM #18
You're preaching to the choir here when saying this XOOM will be a better tablet, but that's not the point. Faced with this single product the XOOM, or the iPAD, at this price point normal consumers don't see what we do ..
I honestly think it's most important to compare OS to OS when analyzing sales, not handset to handset. Again, nobody can control the fact that Apple decided no one wanted different screen sizes, form factors, etc.
- 01-28-2011, 10:18 AM #20
- 01-28-2011, 11:30 AM #21
My point was this is exactly the same thing we heard last year regarding a slew of new Android phones and the iPhone. Almost these exact words were said about the [fill in the blank] Android phone. That class of Android phones, even though people called them out individually as too expensive and had the iPhone4 to compete with, did EXTREMELY well against iOS as a class... Android versus iOS.
So, yes, it's all about comparing Android versus iOS, because that's exactly what's happening here. Just because we're focused on XOOM, doesn't mean the market is. The market is Android versus iOS, not Mot XOOM versus iPad. There are other great Android platforms about to be released.
Just fill in the blank with "XOOM" or "LG Slate" or any of the other soon to be released tablet. There is someone right now saying the LG Slate will not do well against the iPad. And so on, and so on, just fill in the blank with the name of an Android tablet... This is a replay of last year and I seem to be the only one able to recognize that. It's the same silly claims and comments.
Time will tell.
- 01-28-2011, 12:36 PM #22
I still think we are just loudly agreeing
- 01-28-2011, 01:32 PM #23
IMHO, the parallel to last year can not be ignored when talking about how many XOOMs will be sold in the first three months. All these great tabs coming out are going to eat into each other's market share, just like all the great new Android phones ate into each other last year.
How do you discuss the performance of just one platform in isolation of the rest? It's like trying to describe the motion of one planet without allowing any discussion of the solar system. The individual planet and the larger solar system are so intimately entwined that the discussion of one necessitates mention of the other.
I'm in for 500K to 1M. I think it will be much closer to 500K than 1M, because, again, we're having a repeat of last year. If all those other great tabs were not in the wings, ready to debut, than my numbers for XOOM would be quite a bit higher. But all those other Tabs ARE out there. They are the 300lb gorilla in the room you apparently want me to completely ignore. The good news is I think this is the game changing turning point for tabs, just like it was a turning point to phones last year.
- 01-28-2011, 01:47 PM #24
-You think Honeycomb is far superior to iOS, I think Honeycomb is far superior to iOS
- You think Honeycomb tablets will end up far outselling the iPad(s) on iOS, I think Honeycomb tablets will end up far outselling the iPad(s) on iOS
- You think there will be many superior Honeycomb tablets to choose from, I think there will be many superior Honeycomb tablets to choose from.
- You think the XOOM will be awesome, I think the XOOM will be awesome.
I am sorry if I agree, but I do
With that I will cease my responses here since there doesn't appear much more to say of value.
- 02-04-2011, 09:42 AM #25
- 4 Posts
Samsung may have distributed 2 million Tabs, I'm betting 1/5 that number or less actually sold. Until android tablet makers beat Apple on price, they are not going to sell big numbers. And until there's a big user base, you're not going to attract development of a lot of top tier applications. Pricing is more important than open source. iPads are a perceived value buy. People don't relate the cost of parts and constuction to the retail price. Android buyers are much more likely to to balk at paying $800 (or $600 or $400) for $250 worth of parts. And with a fraction of the OS development costs that Apple has to recoupe, there's really no excuse.