I believe that if there was only one model of iPhone, and only one model of Android phone at the same price, and nothing else available, that iPhone would smoke the Android in sales. IMHO, of course.
You sure?
Lets speculate:
Apple is one OS for one mobile phone per year (ignore the 6+ at the moment)
If you want IOS, you HAVE to buy Iphone and if you want a new one its One model only. (again, ignore the anomaly that Apple sell last years product as "New" One market (premium) and only one goalpost to aim for ( make the iphone just good(cheap) enough to please the Iphone buyer and keep profits high)
So we have the situation where Apple shift boat loads of Phones every year (You want IOS, you get an iphone)
Android on the other hand has to deal with multiple price points, markets, (languages as well) environments, feature lists, manufacturers etc. In being all things to all men, it is severely hampered.
In fact it is a testament to Android that it manages to keep up with Apple at all!
so we have a VAST array of units being sold, all different etc. Whilst a total of more phones are sold with android than IOS, the resources of the android manufacturers are spread thinner, with multiple manufacturers and multiple models. I'd argue again that its a testament to Android that the manufacturers can keep up with Apple at all.
But this changing, Android One is going to change the lower end substantially. The number of manufacturers is reducing (Sony are goosed, HTC are struggling for air, Samsung profits are falling) so its likely that in the future we will have only a few manufacturers making high end Android devices. (Motorola, Google, LG?) and as the number of players in the market shrinks, the market share will increase and then Apple will see some serious competition from less, but larger competitors who are able to lever the larger shipping numbers to make genuinely great products.
Moto imho, are onto something when thay have said that no one want expensive phones anymore. The market is changing, Contracts are becoming outdated and people just want to pay for phones upfront and use the carriers for call rates only. Apple's price policy will not stand up to that. at the moment, An iphone with a usable amount of memory(64gb) is in the region of €800. The best Android on the market at the moment (ie 16GB LG3) can be had online for €450-500 with decent SD card included.
That is €300 in difference or 40%!
Is the Iphone 40% better than the LG? dunno and if you want IOS its an irrelevance but people move and change and as the manufacturers begin to thin out and Premium spec androids are made by fewer companies, they will be able to make better and better phones and the (perceived?) gap in engineering is going to fall further. yet that price difference may not and i don't think the market is there anymore for it. (You may point to the large sales of iphones at the moment, but they have burnt there powder in the new screen size. All the older Iphone-ees who have held off for a bigger screen have come rushing to the flame. I wouldn't be sure that this rush will happen next year)
Give HTC, or Sony or LG or Moto the same market share and income as Apple and i think apple would be in deep trouble very soon.
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