(Un)Official Prediction Thread!

[gone down south]

We're 5 days out from the announcement, the hardware stats are pretty much confirmed*, all that's left to worry about is memory and price. So what's your best guess?

I'm in for 8gb $299 / 16gb $349, no SD, no LTE.



* unless it's all a big Google fake-out!

 

[Woosh]

We're 5 days out from the announcement, the hardware stats are pretty much confirmed*, all that's left to worry about is memory and price. So what's your best guess?

I'm in for 8gb $299 / 16gb $349, no SD, no LTE.



* unless it's all a big Google fake-out!

I'm semi realistically guessing $499 for 8GB and $549 for 16GB.

I think they will announce Verizon to come and the day of pre orders via the play store.

 

[Mac58]

499 for 16gb 549 for 32 unlocked WITH ATT LTE BANDS! It seems like all the international LTE devices are mostly compatible with ATT LTE so I'm thinking the same thing here. But this is obviously a guess lol.

 

[anon(94115)]

8GB 399, 16 450

32GB coming in at 450 3 months from now, right along with the LTE bands for VZW (the 8 will go away and the 16 will get knocked down to 399). I am not sure about LTE bands for the others, I am sure they will be there. LTE will not be left out.
.

 

[bunique4life05]

Honestly who knows I really can't wrap my head around 8gb of storage but it's seems to work for the Nexus 7. They truly would know what's best obviously by their sales numbers for the 8gb which are problably promising. These sales pushed the idea for 8gb Nexus 4 plus cost and to push there cloud system. However they really haven't really promoted there cloud service so I feel the Nexus 4 is more cost and based on the sucess of the Nexus 7 8gb. To be honest really not buying my own logic.

Now on to the prediction

$399 8GB Play Store
$450 16GB Play Store
$299-$349 32GB (On Contract Carrier Version) Maybe
32GB $500( Limited Edition Model) Play Store (Very Unlikely)



Sent from my ADR6400L using Android Central Forums

 

[Woosh]

Honestly who knows I really can't wrap my head around 8gb of storage but it's seems to work for the Nexus 7. They truly would know what's best obviously by their sales numbers for the 8gb which are problably promising. These sales pushed the idea for 8gb Nexus 4 plus cost and to push there cloud system. However they really haven't really promoted there cloud service so I feel the Nexus 4 is more cost and based on the sucess of the Nexus 7 8gb. To be honest really not buying my own logic.

Now on to the prediction

$399 8GB Play Store
$450 16GB Play Store
$299-$349 32GB (On Contract Carrier Version) Maybe
32GB $500( Limited Edition Model) Play Store (Very Unlikely)



Sent from my ADR6400L using Android Central Forums

Actually my guess is that they figure phones use less storage than tablets....I keep quite a few games on my tablet but I have no games on my phone. So its possible they went 8GB for that reason.

 

[gone down south]

You guys are forgetting two very important details - the $199 tablet and the $250 Chromebook.

Google doesn't mess around when they want marketshare.

 

[Dr0me]

$300 for 16 GB on contract
$200 for 8gb on contract
$400 for 16 on google play store
$300 for 8gb google play.

 

[bunique4life05]

You guys are forgetting two very important details - the $199 tablet and the $250 Chromebook.

Google doesn't mess around when they want marketshare.

I don't quite see what your point is so can you elaborate?


Sent from my Nexus 7 using Android Central Forums

 

[anon(94115)]

I think that he is saying they will take the loss to push the item. The flaw in my opinion is that they are trying to make a name with tablets and chromebooks, Android phones itself already has one so they are not really trying to get market share

 

[bunique4life05]

I think that he is saying they will take the loss to push the item. The flaw in my opinion is that they are trying to make a name with tablets and chromebooks, Android phones itself already has one so they are not really trying to get market share

Nexus name has yet to be established trademark name to the mainstream. The Nexus 7 has been the biggest draw and purest representation to "Nexus" name alone.

Sent from my ADR6400L using Android Central Forums

 

[anon(94115)]

yes but the Android name is, and that is all that matters. As I stated in another thread, I would love to see the Nexus name become more prominent, but they do not have to sell at that big of a loss to do it.

 

[emoeskaite]

I don't think it'll go beyond $400. This phone is slated to be sold cheap to people who value a good CPU and RAM plus the newest, clean Android over everything else. Nexus is the developers' phone. It's nothing like iPhone which is to be pretty (although I think it's ugly).

Sent from my Galaxy Nexus using Android Central Forums

 

[gone down south]

My point is that Google wants Nexus to become a name that the general public recognizes.

People already have the option to buy $500/$600/$700 phones off-contract, and they just plain aren't doing it. The vast majority of phones sold in the US are between $0 and $199 on-contract, whether that makes sense to the hobbyist community or not. Americans don't buy prepaid sim cards, and they don't know anything about MVNOs.

If the Nexus is just another really expensive phone that carriers aren't pushing, and that consumers have to take multiple extra steps to activate and use, it's going to remain a niche product. What did the Samsung/Apple lawsuit reveal, that they sold a half million Gnex's, something like that? That barely moves the needle. Market it as an affordable alternative that pays off in the long run, and you'll have a successful product launch.

 

[Woosh]

My point is that Google wants Nexus to become a name that the general public recognizes.

People already have the option to buy $500/$600/$700 phones off-contract, and they just plain aren't doing it. The vast majority of phones sold in the US are between $0 and $199 on-contract, whether that makes sense to the hobbyist community or not. Americans don't buy prepaid sim cards, and they don't know anything about MVNOs.

If the Nexus is just another really expensive phone that carriers aren't pushing, and that consumers have to take multiple extra steps to activate and use, it's going to remain a niche product. What did the Samsung/Apple lawsuit reveal, that they sold a half million Gnex's, something like that? That barely moves the needle. Market it as an affordable alternative that pays off in the long run, and you'll have a successful product launch.

JMO but I disagree with you for the most part. I think Google is content with Nexus being a dev phone and not for the mass market. If you look at Moto phones they are becoming more and more stock looking and I think that is where Google will strike with their hardware line. Like you said, the Gnex sales were abysmal and that is telling of the uphill battle Google has against its own OS.

More and more ppl are moving to MVNOs, the average person still goes into a store and buys a phone that way with a contract, but thats not to say that there are no ppl buying them. Check out slickdeals sometime and see all the ppl who jumped on the $399 deal and then even more when it dropped to $349. There is a market for that. The big question is was that a Google fire sale or can they effectively make a profit selling at these prices.

If they price themselves alone in the market as the hands down the best deal in wireless, like the Galaxy was until the GS2 for $300(even though imo the $380 GN is still a better deal)then I see them making the Nexus brand a popular brand. I doubt it'll reach GS3 numbers, but it'll get bought. It all comes down to what can they afford to realistically sell it at.

But I think that if Google only needs to focus on one phone nearly for the entire world, it'll keep things cheap and less confusing. We'll see.

 

[gone down south]

Excellent points, I'm just having trouble reconciling that with Nexus 7 ads all over TV, obviously aimed at the mass market consumer.

Google is inscrutable!

 

[Woosh]

Excellent points, I'm just having trouble reconciling that with Nexus 7 ads all over TV, obviously aimed at the mass market consumer.

Google is inscrutable!

I've personally never seen one but don't doubt they exist. Thing is about the Nexus 7 is since its a tablet they can rely on someone coming in and noticing it for an impulse buy at places like Staples or Gamestop.

Phones generally do not have that ability unless they package it with a prepaid. Very few ppl walk into BB or Walmart and just pay upfront for a phone that they see there and there is no section rly for this type of thing in the store. So if Google wants Nexus to be big they need the carriers on board. Idk if they can get that with the sales they have seen in the past.

For my own selfish reasons I hope it becomes a value phone just like Google's other products atm. I just don't want them to price it so high or so low that they end up dropping it like their other beta adventures.

 

[qnet]

This is my prediction/hopes

8GB $499.99
16GB $549.99

And after the other tablet announments just one more thing:

32GB HTC Nexus 5, five inch super phone (based off HTC butterfly J). $599.00

 

[gone down south]

I've personally never seen one but don't doubt they exist.

Might be a "living in Silicon Valley" thing then There are Nexus 7 billboards along the highway and ads on TV every night .

 

[gone down south]

We're 5 days out from the announcement, the hardware stats are pretty much confirmed*, all that's left to worry about is memory and price. So what's your best guess?

I'm in for 8gb $299 / 16gb $349, no SD, no LTE.



* unless it's all a big Google fake-out!

I win, suckas!