The X is not an iPhone killer, it's a Blackberry killer

[MolecularGraph]

I don't want an iPhone, android is it!

 

[tony bag o donuts]

A lot of people my age (19) are getting blackberries. Something odd I noticed.

because of BBM probably....and they use what their parents know....

 

[theiphonewannabe]

Why must everything be a killer of something...

Why not "Droid X - Hand in hand with the iPhone 4."

or "Droid X is the iPhone with a cooler name but leaves the iPhone alone because killing is so silly"

 

[Yourdogsdead]

because of BBM probably....and they use what their parents know....

Is it really that great? I get along fine with my phone and its messenger app.

 

[c4v3man]

For years blackberries where the smartphones to get if you were going to get one. Then the iPhone came out and there were a lot of converts but not nearly as many as the converts on Android and the answer is simple. The iPhone is only on one carrier here in the US. So for the blackberry users looking to get a better phone but refused to go to AT&T, an Android device was the obvious answer. I'm sure if the iPhone was on all 4 major carriers you would see blackberry users jumping onto both iPhone and Android near equally. But since Android has several devices on 4 carriers it gives blackberry users the option to stay with their carrier and upgrade at the same time.

One thing we all can probably agree on, there are iPhone users on AT&T that can't wait for the Samsung Capitivate or any high end Android device and there are Incredible/X/Droid etc users on VZW are dying for a Verizon iPhone.

Great summary, except that if the iPhone was available on all carriers from the beginning, I'd say there's a decent chance Android wouldn't have existed, or at least be anywhere near the popularity it is today. If they are locked into a 5 year commitment with AT&T still, then I'd say the iPhone and Android userbases will be pretty comparable by the time that runs out, with higher adoption rates of Android devices at the time. Should make for a healthy userbase for both camps.

 

[jdbower]

I think I mis-read your statement as saying that 47% chance people are leaving BB for other platforms

We're both using very bad math to make the same point. I'm saying that if we can ignore any sort of brand loyalty, a random user who has left a smartphone for a Droid has a 40% chance of being a Blackberry user, a 25% chance of being an iPhone user, etc.

You're ignoring the longer lifetime of Blackberry phones (Blackberry users aren't as prone to chasing the latest shiny so they use their phones longer) and translating that 40% installed base into recurring sales figures.

What we're both saying, which is true, is that when you've got the majority of the market share you should expect a lot of people to migrate from that brand. I'd expect more people to move from Mercedes to Porsche than from Lamborghini to Porsche just because there are more of them, it doesn't mean that the numbers who switch are actually hurting either company's bottom line.

More interesting bad math:
Blackberry sales for the period had a 0.4/41.7=1% drop in total marketshare
Apple sales for the period were down 1.0/24.4=4% drop in total marketshare

Means absolutely nothing (especially since the latest numbers available predate the iPhone 4 and the latest roundup of Droids), but good schadenfreude to position Apple as losing marketshare 4x faster than RIM.

BTW: I also agree there's a lot of neat things I liked about my Storm that would be great on the Droid (rotate screen in any direction in just about any app, bulletproof bootstrapper (never been able to get a Blackberry to not load an OS), easier browser User Agent switching, better security features, etc.). Still, can't give up my new pwecious' pretty browser!

Lesson for others to learn:
Every phone is the best for someone's definition of best!

 

[TheMobileWorx]

There do seem like a lot of people putting down blackberries lately for all the new android phones.

 

[willymakit]

Why must everything be a killer of something...

Why not "Droid X - Hand in hand with the iPhone 4."

or "Droid X is the iPhone with a cooler name but leaves the iPhone alone because killing is so silly"

Ya give PEACE A CHANCE.LOL

 

[Topweasel]

There do seem like a lot of people putting down blackberries lately for all the new android phones.

A lot of that has to do with previously available Smartphones. The S1 with all of its bugs was probably the first viable touchscreen option Verizon had. Their Winmo phones were always pretty weak, no Iphone, no Android. Even by the S2's launch it was the same. None of that takes into consideration that before that Blackberries were really the only use-able consumer smartphone even as a business oriented company long before that.

So high market penetration, old consumer base, prior to the original Droid release only usable smartphone on Verizon's user base. It makes sense that a majority of users are coming over from BB, its all Verizon users have ever known, and not everyone uses the features that a BB is the greatest at. A lot of people moving to these droids are doing it because they have been clamoring for an OS and hardware targeting a market closer to what the iphone has.

 

[johntkong]

I did switch from a BB Tour to the Droid X.

 

[johntkong]

Why must everything be a killer of something...

Why not "Droid X - Hand in hand with the iPhone 4."

or "Droid X is the iPhone with a cooler name but leaves the iPhone alone because killing is so silly"

They could just hug it out.

 

[tony bag o donuts]

A phone os should not have memory leaks 10 years into development.

 

[willymakit]

A phone os should not have memory leaks 10 years into development.

Yes Alph. but don't we all have memory leaks as we get older.LOL

 

[tony bag o donuts]

Yes Alph. but don't we all have memory leaks as we get older.LOL

true...but I don't do battery pulls....and no need for meds yet.

 

[timscarborough]

I'm another former BlackBerry user who got the Droid X yesterday. The wife got my old Tour to replace her dumb phone until the Droid 2 comes out.

 

[lemcoe9]

Yes Alph. but don't we all have memory leaks as we get older.LOL

I'm way under the age that memory leaks occur at. Either way, the droid x smokes my old Bold 9650.

Also, BBM is the best messaging app ever.

Sent from my DROIDX using Tapatalk

 

[alphanu22]

just had a idea...
The Droid X hais a 5wifi tether and to make a video chat with a iPhone4 is with wifi... hrmmmm

 

[Exzaybien]

I'm someone who bought a blackberry storm when it first came out, and that was Nov 21 '08. My new every 2 is up this coming tuesday, and I'm planning on getting the X. I bet there are some more out there that are in my shoes.

 

[That70sGAdawg]

You gotta have the blinking notification light if you come from Blackberry (the Bold 9000 still has the best cell phone speakers ever). The Droid X offers the blinking green led and the iphone 4 that I returned for face hangups and the "walled garden" didn't have that light. The X rules.....

 

[Chewie18]

Blackberry's will be around for a while since corporate America uses them so much and relies on them so heavily.