Ok, I'll gladly take your money. How much you wanna bet?
Considering it would be kind of hard to verify who won and who lost.... We'd have to establish exactly what would constitute a fail and what would be a success.... and then Google usually keeps Nexus device numbers and sales $$$ private.... They don't release numbers like Apple and other MFG's do (or haven't in the past)
I am sure Google has a # in their minds when they decided to release a mammoth 6 inch device at $700+ (after taxes and shipping) They could consider 1 million phones a super success and anything over that pure gravy.....